Leverage Factor

Current nuclear non-proliferation programs cost $3b-6b/year (Solutions to the World's Biggest Problems, Bjorn Lomborg, 2007, pp. 209).

Project Cost Real world outcome Outcome estimates Economic value in Western terms
Nuclear non-proliferatioon $3-6b/year 65k-520k lives saved/year Guess have a 25-50% effectiveness at reducing a 2-4% chance/year of the loss of 500k-1m life equivalents (Rogue state scenario) and a 0.5-1.0% chance/year of the loss of 50m-100m life equivalents (India-Pakistan, Russia-US) $130b-1t/year

Leverage Factor

20 - 300