Leverage Factor
Project Cost Real world outcome Outcome estimates Economic value in Western terms
Sleep research $2,300m/year x 20 years reduce sleep from 8 to 2.5 hours a day Boost spending on sleep research 10 fold for 20 years; 50-80% chance save (8 - 2.5) / (24 - 8) = 0.34 DALYs/year; assume intervention affordable to middle and high income countries, totaling 2.7b people, but not for low income countries; $90k/DALY discounted 3% occurring 20 years out; capitalize benefits over 20 years; 50-80% x 0.34 x 2.7b x $90k x 0.97 ** 20 * 20 $450-720t

Leverage Factor

10,000 - 15,000